United No Notice Award Devaluation (Prices Increased By 33%+) [Expanded To More Locations]

Update 5/29/23: This has now expanded to more locations. Dans Deals has the full details here.

United has just made a huge no notice award devaluation and prices have increased dramatically. Prices seem to have increased by a minimum of 33% and up to 50% in some cases on transatlantic flights. Partner awards have also increased in price.

Hat tip to FlyerTalk & FM

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Red
Red (@guest_1627385)
June 1, 2023 15:00

Today I see I need 55k miles to Tokyo one way. It use to be 35k miles so increased by 57%!

G
G (@guest_1627695)
June 1, 2023 23:34

same to Southeast Asia, used to be 44k on partners but today is 60.5k!

Sunshine
Sunshine (@guest_1628265)
June 3, 2023 00:42
  G

G can you share what route you’re seeing 60.5k for? I’m only seeing 100k when I search SE Asia – U.S

G
G (@guest_1628271)
June 3, 2023 01:27

Sure, 60.5k is the partner award price with saver space available. Example is SIN-LAX in September on SQ.

The 100k price you’re seeing is United non-saver award space. Interestingly, it looks like if there is saved space available on United it can be less miles than it was before the devaluation (used to be 40k, now saver space on United SIN-SFO can be had for 39k)

Sunshine
Sunshine (@guest_1628396)
June 3, 2023 11:07
  G

Thanks for the head’s up!

It sucks I just transferred UR points to United thinking I would use it for a SEA-U.S flight. I just transferred it a week ago and it took 5 days to process. But now with the higher mile fares.. I don’t have enough to book the flight I need anymore 🙁 bummer

cameron
cameron (@guest_1626707)
May 31, 2023 14:02

the 90,000 mile quest offer begins to make up for the devaluation. Lets see if they improve other offers.

AD
AD (@guest_1626789)
May 31, 2023 16:36

And then the 90000 offer goes away but the deval stays. This pricing psychology is so predictable!

cameron
cameron (@guest_1627304)
June 1, 2023 12:54
  AD

so grab the 90,000 right away i guess.

ihg newbie
ihg newbie (@guest_1625587)
May 29, 2023 14:08

a month ago, i was on the fence whether to transfer UR points to marriott with 50% bonus or to hold on for future use on united.
ended up transferring to marriott and very glad i did.

BaconSF
BaconSF (@guest_1625759)
May 29, 2023 20:07

Lol Marriott devaluation is worse than United

Chad Dankbutt
Chad Dankbutt (@guest_1625986)
May 30, 2023 09:41

I finally managed to redeem my Marriott points for 1.3 cpp. 3 star hotel kind of in the middle of nowhere. Took me 3 years to find nearly anything halfway decent. Never trying to accumulate Marriott points ever again

ihg newbie
ihg newbie (@guest_1626125)
May 30, 2023 13:46

well, did you read the “50% bonus” part?

frogger
frogger (@guest_1626367)
May 30, 2023 22:14

Lol. I would have just used the travel portal you would have gotten more value

TDD
TDD (@guest_1625489)
May 29, 2023 10:21

This is always why I tell people who hoard miles on a flight rewards program – USE THEM QUICKLY! Besides the fact that you are losing out on bank interest had you elected to get those points as cash (should you have chosen to take miles from credit cards as cash back vs transferring them to an airline rewards system), the airlines alllllllways devalue the miles. And the devaluation comes in one of three ways, or all three. 1) Costs of flights go up making you have to use more miles, 2) value per mile gets decreased making you have to use more miles, 3) quality of the flight goes down meaning you get less at the end.

My colleague has been hoarding United miles with the hope of becoming a million mile member (he’s close – i think he’s at 800,000 something?). Great job. But by the time he is ready to retire from work and travel the world with those 1,000,000 miles, he will get so much less than had he used them progressively over time. He’ll never know how much value he lost, of course…it is impossible to measure.

Mythrol
Mythrol (@guest_1625531)
May 29, 2023 12:11

Well from this he will know he’s lost AT LEAST 33-50%. So by the time he’s ready to use the 1,000,000 miles they’ll probably only be worth 100-200k in what it used to be worth.

Beltway
Beltway (@guest_1625541)
May 29, 2023 12:32

I’m perfectly happy rolling up SUBs with ROIs of 15-30% (taking into account Y1 AF + my own points valuation). True, the pots of miles/points I’ve accumulated will be devalued over time, but a) they give me flexibility across multiple airlines/hotels for any given trip, plus b) a stash available in an emergency if issues arise on travel (illness, rail strike) & I need a hotel for another night or three. And unlike the cheapest revenue airfares/room rates, it’s all cancelable with no penalty.

I can also freely gift travel to family or book alternative trips/stays—except on UA, which is good at catching impossible overlaps—when my own future plans are uncertain.

Also, with some judicious searching I can fly TATL in J at a cpp yield well above any baseline nominal miles valuation you care to use.

If cashback sparks joy, you do you. I won’t kink-shame. But for the average traveler flying to Europe or Asia in bidness class, racking up miles/points is by far the better path to happiness. United could cut MP valuation by another 33% or more, which they undoubtedly will, and I’d still be making bank.

BTW, you’re half right about your colleague: he should be taking trips starting yesterday & not just piling them up for 5 or 10 years down the road.

TDD
TDD (@guest_1625630)
May 29, 2023 15:38

Beltway Oh, I don’t shame anyone regarding choosing miles or tell anyone NOT to do miles. I just try to educate those people about how to properly consider time and value. People see 75000 miles on paper and think that they are getting A+++++ value. Yes, it’s A+++++ value if you do things properly or depending on how you do it. For example, using miles on economy gets you like $0.012-$0.014/mile, which is good, but not nearly as good as doing business/first which can net you $0.02/mile or more. Problem is that doing business class gets you fewer flights. So do you want more flights or more value per flight?

Me personally, I do love airline miles. I just redeemed 60,000 AA miles on three economy tickets from Colombia that gave me a value of $0.0128/mile, or close to $770 in value (much higher than the $600 it would have been for cash back when I got them from the AA Barclays card). So I’m not going to be hypocritical here and say I never do miles. I just try to use them quickly and judiciously so I don’t lose value. With that being said, I am sitting on 43,000 United miles that I haven’t yet found an ability to use.

Beltway
Beltway (@guest_1625808)
May 29, 2023 22:27

“Problem is that doing business class gets you fewer flights. So do you want more flights or more value per flight?”

¿Porque no los dos? I want a flat bed on TATL overnights & am fine with cattle class on the way back. Also, my upcoming flight in Y out of FRA is yielding a hair above 5cpm, ergo more flights + more value. (Yes, there are less expensive revenue fares than the one I’m using for comparison, but I foolishly insist on taking the 9-hr nonstop rather than the budget itineraries that literally take 3x as long.)

With that award, booked pre-deval, now costing ~1/3 more, future trips would instead yield “only” ~3.7cpm. Obviously I’d rather United not devalue my miles, but I’ll sleep just fine—and keep on happily parking my butt in the sky—even under the new regime.

Chad Dankbutt
Chad Dankbutt (@guest_1625984)
May 30, 2023 09:38

“not nearly as good as doing business/first which can net you $0.02/mile or more”

Well, assuming you personally would have paid the ticket price. Else it’s what you would have paid, or preferred to take as cash instead of the flight. If you’d prefer $1000 cash and a $500 economy flight instead of a $5000 business ticket, you can’t claim you get $5000 out of the points.

Beltway
Beltway (@guest_1628894)
June 4, 2023 21:55

False. I wouldn’t shell out $5K cash for flat-bed TATL J, but I refuse to do eastbound/overnight TATL in Y. If I can have the thing I want for miles & not cash (& there aren’t reasonable alternatives at lower cash cost), the price of a revenue J fare is precisely the value of what my miles are buying.

frogger
frogger (@guest_1626368)
May 30, 2023 22:15

Earn and burn. I book six United International flights with miles and I think I had 22k miles left when the devaluation happened.

Dave
Dave (@guest_1626548)
May 31, 2023 09:22

Having 1M miles is not the same as being a million miler. I’ve had well over 1M miles in my account. I’m now a million miler which means flying 1M paid miles. Happy to have used all my miles and now to be lifetime gold.

It is me
It is me (@guest_1625467)
May 29, 2023 09:05

What can go wrong when you hire someone from Comcast to lead ops? I have Comcast and they are the worst provider I have dealt with, trying to sneak in fees and such. No customer service.

Cate the MSer
Cate the MSer (@guest_1625409)
May 29, 2023 02:11

Thanks to one particular club that focuses on getting HARD. Anyone that participates in this scheme should go to jail. They fasely generate lots of UA points from fake purchases that alert UA HQ. That’s why we can’t have nice things.

CredibleDan
CredibleDan (@guest_1625753)
May 29, 2023 19:57

Care to expand on this? What’s HARD?

K.M.
K.M. (@guest_1625399)
May 29, 2023 01:30

Not only have there been devaluations but now a route that I was interested in that used to be direct every day is only showing 1 stop layover routes if paying with miles, but with $ the direct routes show.

JohnAnon
JohnAnon (@guest_1625464)
May 29, 2023 08:57

I had some non-stop flights booked with miles, which were just changed by the “friendly skies” to connecting flights.

K.M.
K.M. (@guest_1625680)
May 29, 2023 17:03

@JohnAnon wow no way! You should complain and have united rebook your flight to a direct flight.

anne
anne (@guest_1625479)
May 29, 2023 09:55

Yup it is the new normal….asked to me to fly to to ORD then IAH to connect the long haul int”l flight instead of a short nonstop flight to IAH. If you want the nonstop segment, you will have to pay more miles.

K.M.
K.M. (@guest_1625508)
May 29, 2023 11:22

Crazy. I was looking at HNL to NRT flights and if paying with dollars there’s direct flights with ANA both directions but if you switch it to miles then only 2 united flights per day with layover in GUM appears. Shady stuff.

anne
anne (@guest_1625521)
May 29, 2023 11:45

yup…I had to pay way more miles just for the nonstop short flight from TUL to IAH which I had always got it in the past for my award tickets.

Jeb
Jeb (@guest_1626290)
May 30, 2023 19:27

That’s on ANA, not United. ANA releases very limited inventory to their partners for award booking. If ANA isn’t willing to take the points booking from United, then United can’t book it directly with miles.

K.M.
K.M. (@guest_1626464)
May 31, 2023 03:47

Jeb Thank you. Maybe it was a coincidence then that the devaluation and the loss of award fares happened around the same time.

cameron
cameron (@guest_1621308)
May 20, 2023 13:07

according to other sources united has rolled back some of these increases. Specifcally business class on partner airiines. Im not sure if its ok to post a link?

Belinda
Belinda (@guest_1621047)
May 19, 2023 18:53

Japan just ditched covid restrictions 2 weeks ago. Im sure everyone is herding over there.

Sunshine
Sunshine (@guest_1621157)
May 19, 2023 23:46

it’s been ditched since last September

Adam d
Adam d (@guest_1621289)
May 20, 2023 12:14

+ article says transatlantic lol. was also in Tokyo a few weeks ago. got Aadvantage 35k miles for ORD/HND via Japan airlines but some messed up layover in NYC.

Belinda
Belinda (@guest_1625410)
May 29, 2023 02:12

Needed 3 covid shots or a test until may 7. Now no test no shots.

Sunshine
Sunshine (@guest_1625414)
May 29, 2023 02:36

that’s strange Belinda I visited Japan in October, 2022 and March, 2023.. and never once asked for any test or vaccine proof

NewbieNoMore
NewbieNoMore (@guest_1625420)
May 29, 2023 03:17

@Sunshine You forgot. You were supposed to upload your proof of vaccination on the airline portal before flying to Japan.
Lucky me, used all my United miles to Japan last month.

Sunshine
Sunshine (@guest_1625823)
May 29, 2023 23:10

you’re right I forgot.. I only had to do that one time in October 2022.. but never asked about my vaccine proof from anyone on the trips

i got vaccinated in December 2020 and January 2021 so feels like a distant memory..

K
K (@guest_1625477)
May 29, 2023 09:48

Everyone should have their shots anyways at this point if they’re traveling

whodidntante
whodidntante (@guest_1620489)
May 18, 2023 19:03

My lucky day. I recently burned up all my miles to get my ass to Australia.

Blue
Blue (@guest_1625460)
May 29, 2023 08:40

Same here and burned a stash of Delta to get back just before the Thrifty Traveller blog blew up the MEX loophole.

Ben
Ben (@guest_1625461)
May 29, 2023 08:49

Serious? When did he do that?

bullmeister
bullmeister (@guest_1625535)
May 29, 2023 12:19

People are just mad and want to blame someone. The MEX option was posted by various folks over time, and there’s fake rage about it.

Blue
Blue (@guest_1625647)
May 29, 2023 16:18

His post was absolutely the trigger for it.

Blue
Blue (@guest_1625646)
May 29, 2023 16:18
JA
JA (@guest_1625578)
May 29, 2023 13:49

it’s hilarious that a “loophole” is just a standard fare between 2 international cities that aren’t crowded US hubs

Blue
Blue (@guest_1625648)
May 29, 2023 16:19
  JA

It was 95K J SYD-MEX (and some other Mexican cities) on D1. Not a “standard fare” redemption on Delta these days.